Another Hook In the Jaw?

Scott’s Blog – 9/25/08

Another Hook In the Jaw?

One of the most remarkable aspects of the Russian lead last days invasion of Israel predicted in Ezekiel 38-39 is the seeming lack of willingness of thelead country to pull it off.

Now the word of the LORD came to me, saying, “Son of man, set your face against Gog, of the land of Magog, the prince of Rosh, Meshech, and Tubal, and prophesy against him,  and say, ‘Thus says the Lord GOD: “Behold, I am against you, O Gog, the prince of Rosh, Meshech, and Tubal.  I will turn you around, put hooks into your jaws, and lead you out, with all your army, horses, and horsemen, all splendidly clothed, a great company with bucklers and shields, all of them handling swords. Persia, Ethiopia, and Libya are with them, all of them with shield and helmet; Gomer and all its troops; the house of Togarmah from the far north and all its troops—many people are with you. (Ezekiel 38:1-6)

This prophecy indicates that Russia will be painfully pressured into a war it really doesn’t want in the first place.

It appears to be a situation where circumstances will leave them no choice but to make this fateful move.

We have detailed in this space  the “deal with the devil” Vladimir Putin has made with the Mullahs of Iran – “Call off the Chechen terrorists and we will run interference for you as you complete your nuclear weapons program.”

But another “hook in the jaw” that leaves the Russians with little strategic breathing room is revealed in this analysis from the times of London.

Russia ratchets up US tensions with arms sales to Iran and Venezuela 

Russia’s strategic aircraft, the Tu-160 or White Swan, the world’s largest supersonic bomber. A pair of them touched down in Venezuela this week as Moscow announced big new arms sales.

Russia defied the United States yesterday by announcing plans to sell military hardware to Iran and Venezuela.

The head of the state arms exporter said that he was negotiating to sell antiaircraft systems to Iran despite American objections. Russia has already delivered 29 Tor-M1 missile systems under a $700 million (£386 million) deal with Iran in 2005.

“Contacts between our countries are continuing and we do not see any reason to suspend them,” Anatoli Isaikin, the general director of Rosoboronexport, told the RIA-Novosti news agency at an arms fair in South Africa.

Reports have circulated for some time that the Kremlin is preparing to sell its S300 surface-to-air missile system to Iran, offering greater protection against a possible US or Israeli attack on the Islamic republic’s nuclear facilities. The missiles have a range of more than 90 miles (150km).

The Deputy Prime Minister, Igor Sechin, one of the closest allies of Mr Putin, the Prime Minister, visited Venezuela and Cuba this week. Kommersant, the financial newspaper, said that Russia was forming “alliance relations” with the two anti American regimes as a response to US involvement in former Soviet republics.

The Russian moves mark a serious deterioration in relations between Washington and Moscow. Condoleezza Rice, the US Secretary of State, threated to block Russia’s membership of key international organisations. She told the Kremlin that its “authoritarian policies” could prevent it from joining the World Trade Organisation and the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, which coordinates economic policies among industrialised countries. In an outspoken speech to the German Marshall Fund, an institution promoting greater cooperation between America and Europe, Dr Rice said: “The picture emerging is of a Russia increasingly authoritarian at home and aggressive abroad.

“Russia’s bid to join the World Trade Organisation is now in question. And so too is its attempt to join the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development.”

She added: “Russia’s international standing is worse now than at any time since 1991.” http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article4781027.eceIt is clear that the success of the US operation in Iraq, as well as the desire of former Soviet Republics such as Georgia and the Ukraine to formalize political and military ties with the West has placed Russia in a reactive posture.

And so we see that Vlad Putin has little choice but to try to counter these moves by deepening ties with anyone who holds a passionate hatred for America.

But these moves come at a steep cost. The rest of the world is taking a dim view of Russia’s choice of friends and her taste for military adventurism.

 Aside from the friendly folks in Iran, Venezuela and their proxies.

At this point, Russia undoubtedly feels it is in a position to manage the Mullahs.

But we may see the tables turn.

The Putin regime can ill afford a return to horrific incidents like the slaughter of 300 school children by Chechen terrorists at Beslan.

The price of  calling off the dogs may get steeper, especially if Israel or the United States succeeds in destroying Iran’s nuclear capacity.

Adding to the stress is the increasingly isolated position Russia finds herself in concerning the rest of the economic and diplomatic world

Messers Putin, Sechin and Medvedev may one day find themselves staring at a communique that states “Join us in wiping out the Zionists or prepare to face terrorism again on your own soil.”

Having been driven into a one way street of dependance on Iran as a means to alleviate the threat of terrorism and counterbalance the growing American influence in the region, the hooks may very well be getting ready to be set.

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Countdown To Conflict

Scott’s Blog – 9/3/08

Countdown To Conflict

While the mainstream media in this country are feeding us a steady diet of political coverage that sounds more like a soap opera script than helpful analysis, the world keeps on turning.

And one of the most important events going on in this world barely makes it to page two these days.

Let’s catch up with reality.

 
JPost.com » Iran news » Article

Dutch intel: US to strike Iran in coming weeks

The Dutch intelligence service, the AIVD, has called off an operation aimed at infiltrating and sabotaging Iran’s weapons industry due to an assessment that a US attack on the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program is imminent, according to a report in the country’s De Telegraaf newspaper on Friday. The report claimed that the Dutch operation had been “extremely successful,” and had been stopped because the US military was planning to hit targets that were “connected with the Dutch espionage action.”

The impending air-strike on Iran was to be carried out by unmanned aircraft “within weeks,” the report claimed, quoting “well placed” sources.

The Jerusalem Post could not confirm the De Telegraaf report. As we have reported in this space, Israel has made no bones about the fact that they will not tolerate nuclear weapons in the hands of the mad mullahs of Iran. There are two “red lines” the Israelis will not allow the Iranians to cross:

Obtaining levels of weapons grade plutonium that are necessary to construct a bomb.

Allowing the Russian designed state of the art anti-aircraft defenses designed to protect Iran’s nuclear facilities to become operational.

Both of these red lines are fast approaching on the horizon.

So why is the United States getting involved? Why not let the Israelis fight this battle?

A few thoughts. First, the war in Iraq is now an undeniable success. Anbar Province, once the hot bed of Al Qaida terror operations in the region has been pacified and handed over to the Iraqi security forces. Negotiations have begun in earnest to set a date certain for the departure of US troops from the nation.

The notion that the United States is tied down in a Vietnam style quagmire in Iraq has been completely discredited by the brilliant leadership of General David Petraeus. The hands of our military now seem to be free to take on the other major threat to world peace in the region.

A direct military invasion of Iran is not politically feasible. But an effective high tech strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities certainly would be.

Secondly, the United States is currently exerting significant pressure on Israel to make painful concessions to the Palestinian Authority to fulfill the so called “Road Map to Peace”.  The only way Israel would make such seemingly self destructive moves is if they were promised something very significant to their own security in return.

Seeing Iran’s nuclear program gutted might just fit the bill.

The problem with all of this is simple.

What is destroyed can be rebuilt.

Even if the main nuclear facilities of Iran are destroyed, their strange bed fellow Russia would seize this as an opportunity to strengthen their position and prestige in the region. A full blown Russian commitment to rebuilding these facilities would continue to guarantee that radical Islam will not be a problem for them in the future.

It does seem evident that no matter what moves are made, whether they be military or diplomatic the prophecy of Zechariah is becoming increasingly vivid.

“Behold, I will make Jerusalem a cup of drunkenness to all the surrounding peoples, when they lay siege against Judah and Jerusalem.  And it shall happen in that day that I will make Jerusalem a very heavy stone for all peoples; all who would heave it away will surely be cut in pieces, though all nations of the earth are gathered against it. (Zechariah 12:2-3)