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“Who” Will Win the Iranian Election?

Apparently being the self proclaimed messenger of the Muslim messiah isn’t as easy as it looks.

Word has it that even after an unparelleled track record of Holocaust denying, terrorism supporting and Israel threatening, Mahmoud Ahmadinejhad finds himself in a neck and neck race for the Iranian presidency.

Ahmadinejad lashes out at rival before Iran vote

TEHRAN, Iran – Iran‘s hard-line president took a final shot at his rivals Wednesday during his last public pre-election rally, accusing them of resorting to a smear campaign against him similar to the one used by Adolf Hitler’s propaganda minister.

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is locked in a neck-and-neck race against reformist Mir Hossein Mousavi. Both have launched intense political attacks against each other and have turned the presidential election into a display of Iran’s deep political divides.

Heightening the tension before the race, a top official of Iran’s hard-line elite Revolutionary Guards accused Ahmadinejad’s reformist opponents of seeking to launch a “velvet revolution” — alluding to the 1989 ouster of the Communist government of then-Czechoslovakia — and vowing to crush any such attempts.

I guess you can’t blame Ahmad and his friends from feeling a little bitter.

It seems like it was just yesterday that Ahmadinejhad boasted that he had so mezmorized the United Nations that no one even blinked during his address.

The claim of sporting an ethereal, other worldly green glow during the speech was a nice touch as well.

Ah! How soon they forget.

But before the West begins to look at this situation as a sign that Iran is coming to her senses, we need to ask a simple question – How much do we know about the so-called “moderate reformer” Mir Hossein  Mousavi?

Joel Rosenberg provides the following thumb nail sketch:

Mir-Hossein Mousavi is the Iranian presidential candidate who appears to have a shot at toppling current President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on Friday. He is claiming to be a “Reformer,” and campaigning on the mantra of “change.” And the Western media is touting him as a moderate. But is Mousavi really a pro-Western, pro-democracy Reformer? He has criticized Ahmadinejad’s denial of the Holocaust, and the President’s erratic, “extremist” foreign policy because both have sullied Iran’s reputation internationally. But the preponderance of the evidence suggests Mousavi is actually a wolf in sheep’s clothing — a Radical who is soft-spoken and genteel in public.

Mousavi was very close to the Ayatollah Khomeini during the initial phase of the Islamic Revolution. Indeed, Mousavi was appointed by Khomeini to be Iran’s Prime Minister from 1980 to 1988, after serving as Iran’s Foreign Minister. Despite some policy clashes in the past, he is believed to be close to Iran’s current Supreme Leader, the Ayatollah Khamenei. They are from the same town. And they have worked together over the years to advance the Revolution. Mousavi’s record clearly suggests he is a jihadist at heart. He believes in exporting the Islamic Revolution as did his mentor. He hates Israel. He has no intention of slowing down Iran’s enrichment of uranium. His eschatology is, as yet, unknown.  The big question is whether Khamenei has decided to give him — or another of Ahmadinejad’s rivals — the nod. That remains to be seen.

Contrary to the hopes reflected in the Western media, the elections in Iran will change nothing.

The power behind the presidency is the head of the mullocracy, Grand Ayatollah Khameni.

If you believe that the election results in Iran will reflect anything else but Khameni’s personal choice to occupy the office, I have a nice synagogue in Tehran to sell you.

So what can we anticipate in the aftermath of these elections?

If Ahmadinejhad wins it will be a full fledged endorsement of his inflamatory style.

It is possible that this will indicate that the Iranians are so far along in their nuclear weapons program that they really don’t much care what their neighbors or the rest of the world thinks about them.

But what if  Mousavi wins?

Mousavi wouldn’t be close enough to see the presidency with a telescope without the “blessing” of the mullahs.

He is, however, far more skilled at the art of public relations than the in-your-face Ahmadinejhad.

Mousavi could very well appear to be the man the West has hoped for – pragmatic, charmng, willing to negotiate.

No doubt he will make the rounds in Europe, the UN and the United States promising a new direction for Iran and a stand down from one of the world’s most dangerous flash points.

But as this exercise in wish fulfillment unfolds, Iran will be able to buy even more time to complete their WMD program.

And once functional nuclear weapons are in the hands of the mad mullahs, it won’t matter who the figure head president is.

A few years ago the rock group “The Who” had a hit called “Won’t Get Fooled Again”.

After singing about a new revolution, the song ends with a sadly realistic observation:

“Meet the new boss

Same as the old boss.”

Friday’s election results may change the name on the president’s desk, but they won’t change the fantical hatred of Israel or the desire for her destruction among the mullahs.

Why do the nations rage,
And the people plot a vain thing?
The kings of the earth set themselves,
And the rulers take counsel together,
Against the LORD and against His Anointed (Psalm 2:1-2)

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